Pirate 1998 Scouting Report - First Basemen

Last Updated 10 January 1998

On August 19, 1997, Mark Jareb (mij2@columbia.edu) posted the following to the Pirate e-mail list. I have edited it and included it here with his permission. John Stuart (jstu9@aol.com) also assisted with this portion of the Scouting Report; I have updated it with the final stats for the '97 season:


Abbreviations are:
-CAL, Calgary, the Bucs AAA team in the
PCL, Pacific Coast League (Nashville replaces Calgary in '98)
-CAR, Carolina, the Bucs AA team in the
SOU, Southern League
-LYN, Lynchburg, the Bucs A+ team in the
CRL, Carolina League
-AUG, Augusta, the Bucs A team in the
SAL, South Atlantic League
-ERI, Erie, the Bucs A- team in the
NYP, New York-Penn League
-GCL refers to the Bucs rookie team in the Gulf Coast League
-DSL refers to the team the Bucs field in the Dominican Summer League. This team is primarily composed of teenagers from the Dominican signed as non-drafted free agents.
Index: | Pirates | Calgary | Carolina | Lynchburg | Augusta | Erie | GCL | Projections |

Pirates

Kevin Young: 29-6/16/69; #7 '90, Southern Miss.
1B, R-R, 6-2 219
Young was a shooting star in the Pirates organization until 1993, when he had a poor rookie season. The Bucs gave him only 300+ AB the next two seasons. He was released after a great spring training in 1996, and headed to Kansas City, where he hit decently as a reserve, but was still non-tendered in the offseason. Young was resigned by the Bucs, made the the team as the backup corner IF, and excelled to win the starting 1B job after a couple of months. Sidetracked in early August with torn thumb ligaments, he didn't miss a beat when he returned in September. Young's '97 performance was his 1st major league season in line with his previous minor league stats, so I'm much less likely to think it's a fluke. Interestingly, his batting strategy has changed over the time since he first hit the majors going from a patient hitter with little power to an aggressive hitter with very good power. It would be nice to see him return to being a little more patient (while maintaining his power), but I think he's reached a comfort level with his aggressive approach and I'd be satisfied to see him maintain his '97 production. He's parlayed his '97 success by signing a 2-year $3.6 M contract on 12/1 this offseason. He'll be the starting 1B in '98, though there is a slight chance that he'll move to 3B to allow Ron Wright to get promoted to 1B. This scenario is dependent on the play of Freddy Garcia and Doug Strange at 3B as well as Wright's play at AAA.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
90 A-   238  58  16  2  5  31  36   244/331/391
91 A+   201  63  12  4  6  20  34   313/376/502
   AA   263  90  19  6  3  15  38   342/378/494
   AAA    9   2   1  0  0   0   0   222/222/333
92 AAA  490 154  29  6  8  67  67   314/397/447
   PIT    7   4   0  0  0   2   0   571/667/571
93 PIT  449 106  24  3  6  36  82   236/300/343
94 AAA  228  63  14  5  5  15  45   276/321/447 
   PIT  122  25   7  2  1   8  34   205/258/320
95 AAA  163  58  23  1  8  15  21   356/410/656 
   PIT  181  42   9  0  6   8  53   232/268/381
96 AAA  186  57  11  1 13  12  41   306/358/586  
   K.C  132  32   6  0  8  11  32   242/301/470
97 PIT  333 100  18  3 18  16  89   300/332/535

Mark Johnson started the '97 season as the Pirates' first sacker, but after a dissappointing season and a couple trips to the minors, he was released. Similarly, Eddie Williams was picked up in August to fill in for the injured Kevin Young, but was released during the off season. Outfielder Mark Smith also saw limited action at 1B this year, but did attend the Instructional League this fall to learn the position better. Smith can increase his utility as a man off the bench by learning to back-up 1B. Smith's detailed report is included with the outfielders. Off season free agent Doug Strange (see the 3B report) can also fill in at first base for the Bucs in '98.

Calgary AAA

Jose Tolentino: 37-6/3/61; FA '83; Mexico
1B/OF, L-L, 6-1 195
Tolentino is a career minor leaguer who had been playing in Mexico the past few years. He did have one trip to the majors with Houston in '91. His teammates at various times have included Mike Easler, Steve Kemp, and Bob Owchinko. He was signed in mid-May (after being released after a slow start with Rochester); he is an extra body who could help win some AAA games. He did put up good numbers in '97, but being a minor league free agent, I doubt he'll be back with the Bucs in '98, though it's possible he'll be playing for the Mexico City Reds.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
...
91  HOU  54  14   4  0  1   4   9   259/310/389
92  AAA Buffalo, 93 Japan, 94-96 Mexico
97  AAA 362 106  26  0 17  45  60   293/369/506
    MWL 215  52   9  0  6  25  36   242/328/367

Ron Wright: 22-1/21/76; #7 '94 (Atlanta), Kennewick,WA(HS)
1B, R-R, 6-0 215
One of the top power hitting prospects in the minors, '97 was an off year for Wright. He broke his wrist in late July preventing him from getting a September callup. Also, his HR and BB rate decreased, though on the bright side, his K rate also decreased while his BA and his doubles increased. The numbers suggest he shortened his swing and became a little more "aggressive" at the plate. Hopefully, he'll go back to being a patient hitter but I do think shortening his swing may pay dividends. Wright has enough raw power that his 30+ doubles and ~15 HR at age 21 will turn into 30+ HR a few years later even keeping the shortened swing. This fall in the AFL, he tied a league record with 11 HRs, which suggests that he's gone back more to his power swing. However, his BA was again down while his BB rate was not up to its former level. This all may be due to a bulging disc that Wright was reportedly suffering from during the AFL season. In addition, the Bucs would like for Wright to improve is his defense at 1B. Wright almost definitely will start the year at AAA. If he's fully healthy, I think it's also a definite that he'll see some time in Pittsburgh in '98, at the least during September call-ups. This first year in Pittsburgh I'd guess that his numbers will be pretty similar to his AA season in '96 with maybe a few less HR and BB i.e. 250/330/475. In '99 and beyond I'd project much bigger and better things.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
94  R   169  29   9  0  1  10  21   172/218/243
95  A   527 143  23  1 32  62 118   271/348/501
96  A+  240  66  15  2 20  37  71   275/363/604
    AA  246  61  11  1 16  40  80   248/354/496
    MEX  41   6   1  0  3   4  13   146/234/390
97  AAA 336 102  31  0 16  24  81   304/348/539
    AFL 157  34   7  1 11  15  67   214/285/484
1997 Scouting Report


Carolina AA

Tracy Sanders: 28-7/26/69; 58th Rd '90 (Indians); Limestone College
1B/OF/DH, L-R, 6-0 205
Signed as a minor league free agent in the '96 offseason, Sanders is someone I'd like to see given a chance as a MLB bench player. He draws BB very well and can hit for power, but he strikes out a lot and doesn't have that high of a BA. He has a career minor league OBP/SLG of 389/478 with the majority of his PAs (~2,000) coming at the AA-level. In '97, he put up excellent numbers again at AA (this time with a better BA). A minor league free agent, I'm hoping he resigns with the Bucs and plays at AAA.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
90 R    178  50  12  1 10  33  36   281/397/528
   A+    32  14   3  3  0   7   6   438/538/719
91 A+   421 112  20  8 18  83  95   266/393/480
92 AA   381  92  11  3 21  77 113   241/371/451
93 AA   402 115  19  6 18  65  97   286/388/498
94 AA   275  66  20  4  8  60  88   240/376/429
95 AA    32   9   3  0  2   5  11   281/378/563
   AAA  110  25   6  0  4  34  34   227/426/391
96 AA   168  39  10  0  7  33  49   232/365/417
   IND  123  30   6  0  9  29  38   244/396/512
97  AA  376 102  23  1 21  74  88   271/397/505

Kevin Grijak: 27-8/6/70; #29 '91(Atl); Eastern Michigan U.
1B, L-R, 6-2 195
Grijak was signed this offseason by the Bucs as a minor league free agent. He has spent his entire career in the Braves organization. He had a great '95, but his career apparently derailed because he volunteered to be a replacement player during the major league strike. Reportedly due to conflicts with teammates over "crossing" the picket line, he was assigned to the Mexico City Tigers in '96 and lost what little prospect status he had. He's a very good fit for the Bucs currently as they lacked a LH hitting 1B in the upper minors. At times, he has shown good power, though his batting eye is a little below average. He's good insurance to have, plus he's worth taking the chance on that he'll have a breakout year and possibly be productive as a MLB backup. I'm guessing he'll split the 1B/DH duties at AAA with Ron Wright.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
91 R+   202  68   9  1 10  16  15   337/381/540
92 R+    31  11   3  0  0   6   0   355/459/452
   A    157  41  13  0  5  15  16   261/333/439
93 A    389 115  26  5  7  37  37   296/356/442
94 A+    68  25   3  0 11  12   6   368/476/897
   AA   348  94  19  1 11  20  40   270/315/425
95 AA    74  32   5  0  2   7   9   432/482/581
   AAA  309  92  16  5 12  25  47   298/354/498
96 AAA   30  11   3  0  1   5   7   367/472/567
   MEX  323  93  13  0 11   ?   ?   288/   /430
97 AA   240  60  12  1 13  18  35   250/312/471
Dave Kennedy: 27-9/3/70; #5 '91(Ana); Montclair State (NJ)
1B, R-R, 6-4 215
Kennedy's contract was purchased from the St. Paul Saints of the independent Northern League this offseason. Initially drafted in '91, he didn't see minor league action until '93, so I assume he was injured early on. Released from the Angels after the '93 season, he played a year in the Northern League. In '95, his contract was bought by the Rockies, whereupon he had a great year at AA (New Haven is a pitcher's park that's particularly tough on HR hitters). I recall wanting the Bucs to sign him as a minor league FA in the '95-'96 offseason. He resigned with Rockies, had a poor '96 and was released. His main asset is his power, and he draws BB's at an average rate. Another guy who's good insurance as his '95 suggests that he may have a breakout season in the next year or two. I'm guessing he'll split the 1B/DH at AA with Mark Farris and Shon Walker.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
93 A-   248  59  14  2 10  65  63   238/394/431
94 IND   72  21   6  1  4   8  17   292/370/569
95 AA   484 148  22  2 22  48 131   306/372/496
96 AAA  333  85  27  0 11  36  82   255/332/435
97 IND  328  96  24  0 19   ?   ?   293/   /540

Lynchburg A (full season, high)

Mark Farris: 23-2/9/75; #1 '94; Angleton HS (TX)
1B/3B, L-R, 6-3 190
Mark Farris was drafted in the 1st round back in '94, and had a solid first summer. He missed the entire '95 season because of a knee injury, and came back and just did not hit, which had been his best strength. He was drafted as a shortstop, moved to third in '96, and now is primarily playing 1B. '97 was an improvement over '96, but he needs to take a much, much bigger step forward this coming year if he's ever to make it to the majors. He really needs to regain his first round batting stroke to remain in the Pirates' plans. Although I didn't see him prior to his injury, in '97, it is obvious that his foot speed is below average. Farris does hustle though, exhibits maturity, and plays steady defense. He's likely to be the starting 1B at Carolina in '98.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
94 A-   164  47   7  1  1  20  35   287/364/360
   A     49   6   0  0  1   1  15   122/140/184
95   INJURED
96 A    299  65  10  0  2  31  66   217/293/271 
97 A+   367  85  17  3  4  26  71   232/286/327      

Morgan Walker: 23-8/7/74; #23 '96; Lamar U. (TX)
1B, R-L, 6-3 215
Walker had a nice season after being drafted, hitting well immediately at full season A. He has shown very good power, but his batting eye leaves something to be desired. He did see Lynchburg for a short while in '97 and hit OK, but then was shipped back to Augusta. This was likely the result of the Bucs wanting Farris to play somewhere and (I'm guessing) poor defense. In Augusta, Walker actually DH'd 3/4 of the time. Likely to be in Lynchburg as the primary DH in '98.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
96 A    253  76  15  1  8  18  57   300/349/462
97 A    295  81  17  2 14  17  70   275/314/488
   A+    89  24   6  0  3   6  19   270/316/438

Garrett Long: 21-10/5/76; #2 '95, Houston,TX(HS)
1B, R-R, 6-3 195
I very much considered placing him in the OF section as I think that's where he'll primarily be playing in '98, but for now, I've kept him in the 1B section. Of all the OF'ers we have in the organization, IMO he has the highest upside. He hits for a high BA, has a great batting eye, and he's beginning to show the power which he projected when drafted. Typically, I'd prefer to see a greater % of Hits going for XBH for a burgeoning power hitter, but Augusta is a pitcher's park, particularly deflating HR, so I'm not as concerned with Long's numbers. In addition, in his limited stint at Lynchburg, Garrett was really spanking the ball when he made contact. Defensively, he's still learning the OF but I think he'll be at least an adequate corner OF. As well, even if he remains at 1B, (where defensively he's already adequate) his future is still very bright. He obviously appears entirely healed from his shoulder injury in '96, though he still had a few nagging injuries in '97 (like strained hamstrings). He will start '98 in Lynchburg though a promotion to Carolina wouldn't surprise me in the least.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
95  R    63  22   2  1  1  17  10   349/488/460
    A-  108  30   4  0  2  15  25   278/365/370
96  A-   70  20   2  1  0   9  17   286/370/343
97  A   280  84  10  2  7  61  78   300/425/425
    A+   29   6   3  0  1   3  10   207/281/414
1997 Scouting Report

Augusta A (full season, low)

Carlos Rivera: 20-6/10/78; #10 '96; Academia Adventista (PR)
1B, L-L, 6-1 220
Carlos made the jump to full season from rookie ball nicely, but he really needs to get a better batting eye in order to become a valuable hitter. Considering his age, he looks like he'll develop into a decent power hitter. He likely will be the starting 1B in Lynchburg in '98.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
96 R    183  52   8  3  3  15  22   284/338/410
97 A    415 113  16  5  9  19  82   272/304/400

Erie A (short season)

Derrick Lankford: 23-9/21/74; #42 '97; Carson-Newman College
1B, L-R, 6-4 220
Listed as a 3B in college, Lankford exclusively played 1B in Erie. Drafted as a senior, I guess that he was recommended by catcher Scott May who came out of the same college in '96. Lankford has shown good plate judgment and good power while playing at Erie. He was among the NYP League Leaders in Home Runs, Slugging Percentage, and RBIs (along with team mate SS Kevin Haverbusch). An extremely good gamble to take for a 42nd round pick. He'll likely start '98 in Augusta, but could move up quickly as his upside is higher than the other first basemen (counting Garrett Long as an OF) the Bucs have in the low minors.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
97  A-  195  60  11  3 10  33  57   308/407/549 

Keith Maxwell: 23-4/18/75; #21 '97; Florida A&M
1B, R-R, 6-1 205
Played OF and catcher in college, he exclusively played 1B/DH in Erie. He has little plate discipline, but has good power and brings up his OBP by getting HBP relatively often. However, he tailed off badly toward the end of '97, thereby putting up relatively poor numbers for the season. He may find himself in Augusta in '98 or he may be out of the Bucs' system.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
97  A-  134  28   3  1  6  10  38   209/292/381  


Gulf Coast (Rookie League)

Alex (William) Tolbert: 23-1/20/75; #22 '97; Western Carolina U.
1B, L-R, 6-3 245
As a senior in '97, he was the Southern Conference Player of the Year. As a Junior, he was in the top 10 in the country in BA but went undrafted. Appeared to have only one skill -- hitting (apparently with power and a good eye) -- in other words he seemed to have the one skill needed in baseball, though he didn't really show it at Bradenton. Regardless, I'd be tempted to keep him around for another year (perhaps make him the 1B/DH at Augusta instead of Maxwell) just to see what happens. If he's still in the minors 3 years from now, I bet he'll have a monster season, though he'll likely be old for whichever level he's at.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
96 NCAA 217  92  25  1 11  35  35   424/504/700
97 NCAA 220  76  15  1 19  59  51   345/479/682
97 R     94  23   3  0  0  12  23   245/330/277

Bret Kaplan: 23-6/8/75; #43 '97; U. of North Carolina
1B, R-R, 6-4 220
Drafted probably because of his sophomore year at UNC. Looks like a power hitter with (I'm guessing here) injuries that robbed him of his skill. He had arguably the worst performance of anyone in the minors in '97. It's likely he won't be in pro ball in '98.
         AB   H  2B 3B HR  BB  SO    BA/OBP/SLG
94 NCAA  37  11   1  0  1   5  14   297/381/405
95 NCAA  93  29   7  0  8   8  31   312/366/645
96 NCAA  17   0   0  0  0   0   8   000/000/000
97 NCAA  25   7   2  0  0   7  11   280/471/360
   R     57   3   1  0  0   3  20   053/100/070             


Projections:

Bucs: Young
Nashville: Wright Sanders Grijak
Carolina: Farris S. Walker Kennedy
Lynchburg: Rivera M. Walker
Augusta: Lankford Tolbert
Erie: draft pick
Gulf Coast League: draft pick


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